Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 2.263231 2.594098 2.958659 3.390502 3.888578 4.445605 5.116635
2025-06-22 1.701805 2.130664 2.648148 3.320144 4.172159 5.219658 6.610244
2025-06-29 1.406462 1.869239 2.463155 3.284392 4.395660 5.854426 7.926707
2025-07-06 1.190680 1.660610 2.294548 3.217078 4.533630 6.357433 9.097392
2025-07-13 1.106444 1.610180 2.320359 3.401821 5.020174 7.372722 11.089563
2025-07-20 0.990466 1.495900 2.236474 3.410045 5.241174 8.018837 12.607986
2025-07-27 0.920183 1.438062 2.224328 3.517101 5.614020 8.923593 14.625058
2025-08-03 0.837200 1.349506 2.152801 3.518644 5.813955 9.570656 16.295983
2025-08-10 0.761523 1.263173 2.073608 3.495234 5.964434 10.145226 17.904382
2025-08-17 0.689202 1.173992 1.979230 3.433382 6.038142 10.590884 19.331345
2025-08-24 0.646810 1.130575 1.956090 3.489692 6.320775 11.425591 21.557551
2025-08-31 0.613489 1.099145 1.949603 3.573139 6.658480 12.391542 24.143142
2025-09-07 0.565772 1.041999 1.900417 3.589937 6.907106 13.283318 26.838193
2025-09-14 0.509679 0.964373 1.807539 3.517577 6.984667 13.875853 29.064237
2025-09-21 0.465199 0.903187 1.737680 3.479498 7.121769 14.598344 31.662358
2025-09-28 0.422323 0.840086 1.656645 3.408011 7.179009 15.160628 33.993699
2025-10-05 0.412450 0.841546 1.703014 3.604230 7.825985 17.055303 39.613361
2025-10-12 0.384700 0.803132 1.663769 3.612966 8.064147 18.085815 43.381822
2025-10-19 0.369174 0.788584 1.672380 3.726687 8.551795 19.742507 48.923401
2025-10-26 0.345402 0.753632 1.633406 3.728326 8.779512 20.823590 53.201093
2025-11-02 0.321778 0.716471 1.585550 3.703458 8.940327 21.764674 57.268776
2025-11-09 0.297362 0.674977 1.523604 3.637756 8.992477 22.444081 60.749627
2025-11-16 0.283855 0.657189 1.513998 3.697570 9.367066 23.990159 66.867656